This afternoon in the House of Commons, Caroline Spelman announced that the UK Government is to proceed with a badger cull.  This is a contentious decision and I’m sure one that she will have thought long and hard about.  It cannot have been easy, the coalition was committed to pursuing a cull but there are also strong arguments against.  The Secretary of State is in a difficult place.

I will try to set out my thoughts on why ultimately I think we all lost today.  First, let’s make it clear bovine TB is a serious disease that is having a huge impact on cattle farming throughout the south and west.  It must be devastating for farmers to lose their herds to this disease.  Almost 25,000 cattle were slaughtered last year at a huge emotional cost to farmers and financial cost to the taxpayer.  So, it is serious and we need to find effective, sustainable solutions.  Yes, that is solutions in the plural as there is no one silver bullet. 

I also think it is beyond doubt that badgers play a part in the transmission of this disease. Not the only part and probably not the main part, but they are involved.  Mrs Spelman was keen to stress to the Commons that no other country had eradicated bTB without addressing the so called ‘wildlife residue’.  That may be true, but culling is not the only option and there are significant questions over whether culling is practicable and effective.

One of the key aspects of this issue relates to how badgers respond to culling.  These stripey-headed creatures normally live in social groups.  When their population is disrupted by culling, animals move around more, often fleeing from the culled area, with badgers from outside entering the area to fill the void.  This stirring up of the population is called perturbation and it is important because detailed research on culling shows that it increases disease transmission. So the incidence of bTB in badgers may actually be increased by culling.  Culling in the initial stages can increase the level of bTB in cattle, particularly in the immediate vicinity.  The detailed science that has been carried out suggests that badger culling will bring about reductions in bTB if carried out across a big enough area (at least 150 km2) for four years and in a co-ordinated and highly synchronised way.

The science is not that rosy in terms of making a real difference though. After 9.5 years (culling over a four year period and 5.5 post culling) bTB in cattle was reduced by around 12.4% across the 150km2 and a 2km perimeter around this area. This means that even after the effort of this culling, not to mention the killing of many badgers, more than 85% of the problem is left unaddressed.

But the problems do not stop there.  The scientific research used a carefully controlled method of cage trapping and humane dispatch carried out by trained staff in a highly synchronised way.  Most of the culls were carried out over 8-11 days.  Those that were carried out over  longer periods were less effective - no doubt due to perturbation.  The scientists who carried out the work were keen to point out that using different methods in an unco-ordinated way could make matters worse rather than better.  It is therefore of great concern that the Government is proposing to allow farmers to use the untested method of shooting free ranging badgers over a period of up to 6 weeks. We believe this is a high risk strategy that could backfire.

The Government is proposing a trial cull in two areas to test assumptions on whether large enough numbers of badgers can be shot safely and humanely.  We have doubts that a one-year trial under carefully controlled conditions will reflect what will be achieved over any wider cull that is proposed next. 

Why has the Government diverted from the science?  In a word - cost.  It is cheaper to shoot in the open than to trap. It is cheaper or easier to do it over a longer period than in a controlled, synchronised way.  It is a high risk strategy that could be a recipe for perturbation.

But there is an alternative.  Rather than stirring the badger population, we should be jabbing it.  An injectable badger vaccine has been developed and is being deployed on a small scale.  Detailed field trials have shown that vaccination is effective in reducing the number of badgers testing positive to bTB by 74%

It is cheaper than cage trapping and culling badgers, though more expensive than the untested shooting of free ranging badgers.  It also has several very important advantages over culling.  It doesn’t lead to perturbation, it doesn’t risk making TB worse, it doesn’t need to be administered in a highly synchronised way and it is an approach that has widespread public support.

It won’t be a solution on its own, it would need to be carried out alongside cattle testing, movement controls and improved biosecurity measures. When available, an oral badger vaccine and cattle vaccination should replace it.

The Government has announced that £250,000 will be made available to support vaccination in each of the next three years but this, whilst welcome, is too little.  It is half the anticipated policing costs of the trial cull.  How bizarre is that?

The Government’s costings suggest that a badger cull will cost farmers more than it will save them in bTB outbreaks.  I believe that, rather than passing the buck and most of the cost to farmers, the Government should have taken the lead by accelerating a programme of vaccination.  This would be a publicly acceptable, sustainable alternative to a high risk and divisive badger cull.

But what about you?  What do you think? Do you think today's decision helps farmers or badgers or neither?

It would be great to hear your views.

  • Boris -----sadly I am no good on links but if  you put in google bar "graph of cattle numbers slaughtered due to T B 1960 onwards" there should be options of bovine tb blog which shows graph from think 1978 also better one probably the option of may 2011 www.belmonthousevets.co.uk

    These are definite facts that have never been explained except to prove that culling does work but of course it helps those who seek to prove otherwise to quote irrelevant facts.

    I do hope that although I state this that I like Badgers and am definitely pro effective vaccine but we do need action now not sometime in future.Figures can always be used to prove whatever people want to prove and confuse but I would suggest that these are figures that no one has ever questioned and are over a long period of time and of course number of cattle slaughtered because of T B during that period completely accurate.

  • Sooty - you say there was very limited culling between 1965 and 97 and tb only took off when culling stopped. Would be interested to know where these figures are from and what research was carried out to demonstrate that this was cause and effect.  I ask this because the detailed scientific studies carried out more recently showed quite clearly that limited culling in response to cattle TB breakdowns actually made things worse.  So much so that they curtailed this part of the study.  Unfortunately we cant turn the clock back to 1965 (I wish I could!).

    The situation that we are now in is that for a cull to be effective farmers will need to cull hard, killing at least 70% of a badger population over an area of 150 km2 and keep doing it for 4 years.  After nine years this may reduce the number of TB outbreaks by 12-16%.  To me that seems like a lot of dead badgers for a pretty small return.  

    To me a cull is a very divisive option and one with some unpredictable costs.  The Government estimates that it will cost £4 million to police the two pilot culls.  Set that against the £750,000 they are setting aside for badger vaccination over the next three years and it just seems crazy.

    The vast majority of the people who responded to the Government's consultation on this issue a year ago supported vaccination.  It is such a shame that the incoming Government cancelled all but one of the vaccination trial areas set up by the previous lot.  If they hadn't by now we would have pockets of vaccinated badgers in different parts of the country, something that surely everyone would support.

  • Think the worst aspect of this really is we did not get into this position overnight,it was allowed to drift along at terribly slow pace like everything else the government runs,examples like monetary crisis,Aircraft Carriers goodness knows how many years to commission and already out of date due to slow production for the new aircraft so now have to have alterations,new policy's on pension and old age care in 2025 crikey what happened to building a Spitfire in a day.

  • Bob, understand where you are coming from on this.  Unfortunately, there is no relaible field test that can tell us whether badgers have TB or not.  also even limited culling like this would increase perturbation of the badger population and potentially spread the disease.  As Martin says it seems that vaccinating them and keep social groups intact is a better approach than stirring them up.  Completely agree with you that culling will leave a significant amount of the issue untackled.

  • Tree Sparrow ---one problem farmers have is that science or anything else or anyone has explained to us how with very limited culling and stress very limited culling between 1965 and about 1997 which is a big timespan cattle BTB stayed at more or less the same level then Government stopped culling around that time and the graph took off.Just check it out.

    Martin -----would very much like your thoughts on this,think lots of us are confused by it and of course some very pro Badger people put confusing material out there but thank goodness Martin has stayed true to facts.